Implied Impermanent Loss Index

The market price of risk for decentralized liquidity provision

Providing liquidity on a decentralized exchange earns fees, but exposes the provider to impermanent loss when prices move. IILX turns that exposure into a number — forward-looking, extracted directly from options, and updated every hour.

BTC30 days · full range
Implied
IIL
Realized
RIL
Premium
ILRP
As of
ETH30 days · full range
Implied
IIL
Realized
RIL
Premium
ILRP
As of
Why it matters

Providing liquidity means selling calm markets

On a decentralized exchange, prices are quoted by an AMM rather than an order book. When the market moves, arbitrageurs trade against the pool until its price catches up. That rebalancing is not free: it leaves the liquidity provider holding more of whatever fell and less of whatever rose.

The result is impermanent loss — the gap between what a liquidity position is worth and what the same assets would have been worth if you had simply held them. Impermanent loss increases with the size of the price move. Liquidity provision is therefore a compensated short position in volatility: fee income accrues while markets are calm, and the cost materializes when they are not.

The range you choose sets the risk you take

Concentrated liquidity lets you deploy capital over a chosen price interval rather than the entire price range, which turns impermanent-loss exposure into an explicit design choice:

Why look forward

You can always calculate a realized impermanent loss from realized prices. That is little help when deciding what to do today. IILX measures the risk before it materializes, and updates with the market's forward-looking view as it is priced into derivatives.

Try it on a single position →

The idea

Options already price this risk

Impermanent loss has a remarkably simple description. For a full-range position it is one eighth of the variance of the relative price between the two assets. The entire risk of providing liquidity therefore reduces to a single quantity — variance — and variance is precisely what option markets price.

That is the same logic as the VIX. The VIX does not forecast how volatile the S&P 500 will be; it replicates volatility from a strip of index options and reports what the market charges for it. IILX applies the identical construction to liquidity provision: impermanent loss is replicated by a portfolio of options and valued at the prices those options actually trade at.

Concentrated liquidity changes only the scope. The same replication is restricted to the price range you choose, which is why the index is published for a family of range widths alongside the full-range benchmark.

The consequence

The cost of providing liquidity can be extracted from the options market. That is what IILX does, once an hour.

Three numbers

IIL

The risk

What the option market says impermanent loss will be, over a chosen horizon and range width.

RIL

The outcome

What impermanent loss actually turned out to be, measured from realised prices the same way.

ILRP

The compensation

Implied minus realised: whether providers were paid more than the risk ended up costing.

How the index is built

Take a snapshot of the option market

Every hour, the current option surface for the underlying asset.

Rebuild it at the horizon you care about

Markets quote a handful of expiry dates; the index needs a clean 7- or 30-day view, so the surface is fitted and interpolated to it.

Price the basket

Each option in the replicating basket is valued at the volatility the market is quoting for it.

Add it up, for every range width

Repeated across range widths from ±10% to ±90%, plus the full-range case — giving a surface rather than a single number.

The formulas behind each step, the realised-loss definitions, and the numerical details are written up separately: read the full methodology →

Reading the index

Open the live index

Research

Where this comes from

White paper IILX — The Derive Implied Impermanent Loss Index. L. Schönleber, A. Papanicolaou, S. Dawson. Documents how the index is constructed and how to interpret it. PDF →
Underlying The Implied Impermanent Loss in Decentralized Liquidity Provision. A. Papanicolaou, L. Schönleber, T. Li. Derives the option-implied valuation of impermanent loss and the risk premium that goes with it. SSRN →
Underlying Implied Impermanent Loss for Concentrated Liquidity. L. Alberici, A. Papanicolaou, L. Schönleber. Extends the measures to positions concentrated in a finite price range.